Final Score: Red Sox 4 - Rangers 3
Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 8:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Rangers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
82-70 Rating 1534
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.2
Rangers
76-76 Rating 1497
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Rangers
All-time wins 296 271
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.0 4.8
Last meeting 3 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Rangers
Games played 152 152
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.2
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.4
Win percentage 54% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 57%