Diamondbacks @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Diamondbacks 7 - Padres 10
Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET
Arizona
Diamondbacks
86-74 Rating 1524
Form: WWWWW
7 – 10
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.5
San Diego
Padres
89-71 Rating 1548
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Padres
All-time wins 253 238
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.3
Last meeting 11 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Padres
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.2
Win percentage 54% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 62%