Final Score: Diamondbacks 0 - Padres 0
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 3:10 PM ET
Diamondbacks @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.4
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Diamondbacks | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 251 | 237 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 9 |
| Stat | Diamondbacks | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 114 | 114 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 56% |
Recent Results
Diamondbacks
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 20
12-8
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 17
7-10
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
Padres
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 30, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2