Diamondbacks @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Diamondbacks 4 - Padres 9
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 3:10 PM ET
Arizona
Diamondbacks
86-75 Rating 1522
Form: WWWWL
Diamondbacks
4 – 9
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.5
San Diego
Padres
90-71 Rating 1550
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Padres
All-time wins 253 239
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.3
Last meeting 7 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Padres
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.2
Win percentage 53% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 62%