Final Score: Padres 3 - Brewers 4
Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET

Padres @ Brewers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
93-72 Rating 1553
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Milwaukee Brewers +0.6
Brewers
104-59 Rating 1590
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Brewers
All-time wins 99 94
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Brewers
Games played 165 163
Avg runs scored 4.5 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.8
Win percentage 56% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 68%