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Liverpool vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 47% chance to win.
Premier League
Wed, Mar 3, 2027 · 8:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Liverpool
5-3-2Rating 1964
Form: WLWWL
vs
Model Probability
47%
Draw 27%
26%
Premier League
Aston Villa
3-4-3Rating 1943
Form: DDWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Aston Villa

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%27.8%12.5%1.3%
If Win <1%35.2%12.4%<1%
If Draw <1%28.1%12.8%1.3%
If Lose <1%20.2%9.6%1.7%

Liverpool

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.1%63.8%10.2%<1%
If Win 2.6%69.2%10.7%<1%
If Draw 1.2%60.6%10.9%<1%
If Lose 1.0%54.2%11.8%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatAston Villa
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored1.4
1.0Avg goals conceded1.7
50% / 30% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 40% / 30%
20% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LiverpoolStatAston Villa
16All-time wins (26 meetings, 5 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
2.0Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-05-15): Aston Villa 4–2 Liverpool