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Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Aston Villa has a 49% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Feb 27, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Aston Villa
3-4-3Rating 1943
Form: DDWWD
vs
Model Probability
49%
Draw 26%
25%
Premier League
Chelsea
5-1-4Rating 1913
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%25.1%11.9%<1%
If Win <1%34.6%12.5%<1%
If Draw <1%27.0%11.7%1.1%
If Lose <1%20.8%10.9%1.0%

Aston Villa

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%28.3%10.0%1.3%
If Win <1%33.3%13.0%<1%
If Draw <1%24.2%10.4%1.4%
If Lose <1%19.2%10.8%1.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Aston VillaStatChelsea
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored1.9
1.7Avg goals conceded1.6
30% / 40% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 10% / 40%
20% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Aston VillaStatChelsea
7All-time wins (27 meetings, 4 draws)16
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.1Average goals2.3
Last meeting (2026-03-04): Aston Villa 1–4 Chelsea