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Premier League
Sat, Feb 27, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Aston Villa has a 51% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1944
Form: WLDLL
VS
2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
Model Probability
51%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%18.4%7.0%5.7%
If Win <1%24.5%8.8%3.2%
If Draw <1%17.2%7.2%5.9%
If Lose <1%13.5%6.8%6.9%

Aston Villa

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%24.3%8.0%3.9%
If Win <1%28.9%8.8%2.6%
If Draw <1%21.7%8.7%3.9%
If Lose <1%17.5%7.7%5.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Aston VillaStatChelsea
5Games played5
0.8Avg goals scored2.0
1.8Avg goals conceded2.4
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 20% / 40%
0% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Aston VillaStatChelsea
7All-time wins (27 meetings, 4 draws)16
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.1Average goals2.3
Last meeting (2026-03-04): Aston Villa 1–4 Chelsea