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Manchester Utd vs Everton Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 43% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Manchester Utd
1-5-4Rating 1892
Form: DLLDD
vs
Model Probability
43%
Draw 27%
30%
Premier League
Everton
4-4-2Rating 1901
Form: WWLLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Everton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%19.2%9.0%2.5%
If Win <1%23.8%11.3%1.2%
If Draw <1%18.0%9.9%2.0%
If Lose <1%14.2%7.9%2.0%

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%2.7%3.1%14.7%
If Win <1%4.9%3.2%9.7%
If Draw <1%2.5%2.3%14.7%
If Lose <1%1.6%2.4%18.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatEverton
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored1.2
1.9Avg goals conceded1.0
10% / 50% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 40% / 20%
20% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatEverton
16All-time wins (34 meetings, 10 draws)8
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.6Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-09-06): Everton 2–2 Manchester Utd