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Premier League
Wed, Mar 3, 2027 · 8:00 PM GMT

Sunderland vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 38% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1866
Form: LLDWL
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1941
Form: DLDWL
Model Probability
34%
38%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%27.3%8.1%2.8%
If Win 1.0%32.4%10.2%1.6%
If Draw <1%24.5%9.6%3.0%
If Lose <1%20.6%8.2%4.6%

Sunderland

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.1%3.3%18.3%
If Win <1%9.3%3.8%13.1%
If Draw <1%5.9%3.2%18.1%
If Lose <1%3.7%2.6%21.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SunderlandStatManchester Utd
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored1.6
2.0Avg goals conceded1.6
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SunderlandStatManchester Utd
2All-time wins (17 meetings, 3 draws)12
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.4Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-05-09): Sunderland 0–0 Manchester Utd