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Premier League
Sat, Feb 27, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Manchester Utd vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 46% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1941
Form: DLDWL
VS
4-0-1 · Rating 2074
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
27%
46%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 42.7%96.9%1.3%<1%
If Win 47.4%97.7%<1%<1%
If Draw 38.3%95.8%1.8%<1%
If Lose 35.4%94.6%2.1%<1%

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%26.8%9.5%3.6%
If Win 1.2%32.8%10.4%1.9%
If Draw <1%27.1%8.9%2.4%
If Lose <1%21.6%8.7%3.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatArsenal
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.6
1.6Avg goals conceded0.8
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 0% / 20%
50% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatArsenal
13All-time wins (32 meetings, 8 draws)11
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.5Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-01-25): Arsenal 2–3 Manchester Utd