Patriots @ Chiefs

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Patriots 0 - Chiefs 0
Monday, December 21, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET
New England
Patriots
5-4 Rating 1573
Form: WWLWL
@
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Kansas City Chiefs +4.4
Kansas City
Chiefs
6-2 Rating 1590
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Patriots Chiefs
All-time wins 11 12
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 23.2 24.3
Last meeting 17 27

Key Season Stats

Stat Patriots Chiefs
Games played 9 8
Avg points scored 23.4 25.2
Avg points conceded 23.0 17.9
Win percentage 56% 75%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 100%