Bills @ Broncos

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Bills 0 - Broncos 0
Friday, December 25, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET
Buffalo
Bills
6-1 Rating 1714
Form: WLWWW
@
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Denver Broncos +2.0
Denver
Broncos
6-2 Rating 1663
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Bills Broncos
All-time wins 13 13
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 21.5 20.0
Last meeting 30 33

Key Season Stats

Stat Bills Broncos
Games played 7 8
Avg points scored 33.3 21.5
Avg points conceded 25.9 20.6
Win percentage 86% 75%
Away win % / Home win % 100% 100%