← Home / England / Premier League / Matches / Manchester Utd vs Liverpool
Premier League
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Manchester Utd vs Liverpool Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 41% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1941
Form: DLDWL
VS
2-3-0 · Rating 1963
Form: WDWDD
Model Probability
41%
31%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Liverpool

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.0%53.3%9.3%<1%
If Win 3.8%61.7%9.7%<1%
If Draw 2.6%53.0%10.9%<1%
If Lose 1.7%46.0%10.2%<1%

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%27.6%8.3%3.1%
If Win 1.0%33.7%9.9%2.0%
If Draw <1%24.8%8.0%4.2%
If Lose <1%19.3%8.1%4.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatLiverpool
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.4
1.6Avg goals conceded0.8
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 60% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatLiverpool
13All-time wins (33 meetings, 10 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.2Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-05-03): Manchester Utd 3–2 Liverpool