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Manchester Utd vs Liverpool Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 38% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Manchester Utd
1-5-4Rating 1892
Form: DLLDD
vs
Model Probability
34%
Draw 28%
38%
Premier League
Liverpool
5-3-2Rating 1964
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Liverpool

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.1%62.9%10.2%<1%
If Win 2.5%72.7%9.4%<1%
If Draw 1.7%63.0%11.0%<1%
If Lose <1%54.8%11.5%<1%

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%3.1%2.7%14.9%
If Win <1%5.6%4.2%10.0%
If Draw <1%2.8%2.9%15.0%
If Lose <1%1.8%1.8%18.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatLiverpool
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored1.4
1.9Avg goals conceded1.0
10% / 50% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 30% / 20%
20% Home win % / Away win % 80%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatLiverpool
13All-time wins (33 meetings, 10 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.2Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-05-03): Manchester Utd 3–2 Liverpool